DK

THE DEMONSTRATORS

SIGNAL FIRES EUROPE

— (2027) · Alt Rock · Developing artist · 5 shows

Economic Matrix

Tour · Key Numbers

Shows

5

4 countries

Capacity

3,350

5 venues

Projected Audience

2,762

82% sell-through

Break-Even Crowd

1,468

1,294 above

Avg Ticket

£15.57

Merch Sales

£22,854

£13,688 net

Social Reach

254k

1,511 organic tickets

Tour Profit

£15,920

22% margin

Chance of Profit

1%

P50 £13,780

Pay It Forward

£691

at 25p per ticket

General Tour Costs

The total capacity of selected preferred venues is: 3,350

The total distance of your trip is: 3,182km

41 hours and 20 minutes

Flights£1,840
Ferries/Eurotunnel£620
Vehicle Hire£2,960
Fuel Total£2,478
Tolls & Emission£410
Accommodation£5,240
City Tax£385
ATA Carnet£480
Visa & Permits£1,740
Professional Services£1,650
Insurance£740
Marketing Spend£4,200
Tour Posters & Print£980
General Tour Costs Subtotal£23,723

* Calculation anomalies: marketing spend scales with the marketing lever; visa & permit totals are apportioned across the gigs in each country on the gig tabs.

Marketing Budget Required

Social Campaigns (Meta / TikTok)£1,952
Search & Display Adverts£1,069
Spotify / DSP Promotion£651
Local Radio & Print£511
Influencer & PR£465
Required Budget£4,648
Currently Allocated£8,440
Headroom£3,792
MarketTarget TicketsOwn ReachOrganic TicketsCost / TicketPaid Spend
London10188,350557 (55%)£3.88£1,787
Manchester4373,585239 (55%)£3.10£614
Paris3402,789186 (55%)£4.50£693
Berlin7346,021401 (55%)£3.63£1,205
Amsterdam2331,911127 (55%)£3.30£348

Your Reach by Platform

PlatformAudienceIn Tour MarketsEngagedConvertsEst. Tickets
Instagram48,20089%3,6895.2%192
TikTok91,50075%7,6862.1%161
Spotify Followers62,80085%3,2567.4%241
Mailing List9,40088%3,39213.5%458
YouTube27,30079%1,0353.3%34
GIGNITE Fan Graph14,60088%3,59711.8%424
Total organic1,511

Your own audience should cover about 55% of the 2,762 tickets targeted — paid advertising only has to close the gap.

Tour Spend Breakdown

Total Spend£56,485
  • Travel & Transport£8,30815%
  • Accommodation & City Tax£5,62510%
  • Admin, Carnet & Insurance£4,6108%
  • Marketing & Print£5,1809%
  • Gig-Level Costs£20,84737%
  • Merch Cost of Goods & Hall Fees£9,16616%
  • Withholding Tax£2,7495%

In plain terms: the largest slice is your biggest lever on cost. Moving spend out of a big slice has far more effect on profit than shaving a small one.

Profit Waterfall

Money inTaken off youStarting box officeWhat you keep

In plain terms: read it left to right: the public paid the first bar, and every red step is money leaving before it reaches you. The final bar is yours.

Cash-Flow Timeline

Worst Cash Gap

-£17,950

Around 19 Mar

Back in the Black

16 Apr

Cash at the End

£15,920

Reading this chart: red bars are weeks you pay out, green bars weeks you get paid, and the cyan line is your running balance. Its lowest point is the cash you need in the bank first.

Routing Efficiency

Total Distance

2,765 km

Avg Cost / km

£3.00

Weakest Leg

Manchester → Paris

£0.53 profit per km

LegkmDaysTravel CostProfit / kmProfit / Travel Day
London → Manchester3352£1,705£14.09£2,361
Manchester → Paris7203£2,107£0.53£126
Paris → Berlin1,0503£2,452£12.40£4,339
Berlin → Amsterdam6602£2,044£2.54£837

On long drives: a long drive to a small show costs you twice — but the right room in a new city is still worth the miles.

Tour P&L

Ticket Income (artist share)£43,006
Venue Keeps (box office + hall fees)£19,858
Merchandise Revenue (gross)£22,854
Sponsorship Secured£6,545
Total Revenue£72,405
General Tour Costs£23,723
Gig-Level Costs£20,847
Withholding Tax£2,749
Total Costs£56,485
Tour Profit£15,920
Margin22.0%
GigAttend.TicketsRevenueContribution
🇬🇧 London100%1018£28,444£19,853
🇬🇧 Manchester79%437£9,628£4,721
🇫🇷 Paris75%340£5,468£378
🇩🇪 Berlin100%734£23,277£13,017
🇳🇱 Amsterdam74%233£5,587£1,674

Tour Revenue Calculations

Potential Audiences3,350
Projected Paid Tickets2,762
Average Ticket Price£15.57
Potential Ticket Sales£43,006
Merchandise Revenue£22,854
Merchandise Net of COGS & Hall Fees£13,688
Potential Tour Revenues Estimate£72,405
General Tour Costs Estimate£56,485
Potential Tour Profit Estimate£15,920

Tour Revenue Breakdown

Total Revenue£72,405
  • Ticket Income (artist share)£43,00659%
  • Merchandise (gross)£22,85432%
  • Sponsorship Secured£6,5459%

In plain terms: tickets move the most and respond the most: a strong, early marketing and promotional campaign in every city fills the room and grows the audience, while merch and sponsorship make that same crowd worth more.

Merch Benchmarks & Order Guidance

Benchmark / Head

£6.39

Alt Rock · Developing

Your Projected / Head

£7.94

Above benchmark

Upside if Matched

£0

Extra gross merch

Units to Carry

905

Now ordering 3,520

Avg Merch / Show

£15,168

640 tees · 517 items

Streams Equivalent / Show

3.8M

Same money from streaming

Avg Item Price

£23.70

+9% year on year

Spend / Head Growth

+14%

Year on year

Average spend per head by genre

K-Pop£17.89
Heavy Metal£10.63
Hip Hop£10.50
Pop£9.91
Alternative£9.55
Metal£9.24
Electronic£8.53
Latin£8.37
Emo£7.90
Punk£7.74
Indie Pop£7.27
Alt Rock · you£7.19
Bluegrass£6.16
R&B/Soul£6.00
Country£5.77

Average merch sales by venue capacity

CapacityGross / ShowItemsPer Item
Under 500£1,39059£23.57
501 – 1,000£3,046129£23.61
1,001 – 3,000£6,460273£23.66
3,001 – 5,000£13,748580£23.70
5,001 – 10,000£28,1181,186£23.71
10,001 – 15,000£76,3393,221£23.70
15,001 – 20,000£64,2802,712£23.70
20,001+£306,90612,950£23.70

Average spend per head by territory

South Korea£17.46
Australia£10.43
Canada£9.01
United States£8.22
Germany£7.98
Netherlands£7.43
United Kingdom£6.60
France£6.24
Spain£5.61

Top markets by spend per head

Nashville, TN£11.14
Salt Lake City, UT£10.59
Denver, CO£10.19
Seattle, WA£9.80
Minneapolis, MN£9.56
Portland, OR£9.32
Boston, MA£9.09
Chicago, IL£8.85
Philadelphia, PA£8.61
Austin, TX£8.37
New York, NY£8.22
Atlanta, GA£7.98
Los Angeles, CA£7.74
Dallas, TX£7.43
Phoenix, AZ£7.19

Where your pricing and order should sit · tour average

Product TypeYour PriceGuided PriceYour OrderGuided Order
T-shirts & hoodies£34.76£27.92284179
Caps & headwear£22.00£20.3512059
Vinyl & music£32.00£24.857042
Other (pins, totes, posters)£11.96£8.9923046

Prices and orders above are in the money taken at that desk (£); the benchmark tables are shown in GBP.

Guided price move+0%
Guided order move-50%
Currently appliedYour own numbers
Top 3 lines share of takings63%
Streams to match this merch4,821,414
FX used for display£1 ≈ £1.00

In plain terms: you're already running ahead of the industry average per head — hold your pricing and keep the deep sizes on your best-selling lines.

Yield Per Head & Merch Attach

Yield / Head

£19.71

Ticket / Head

£14.95

Merch / Head

£4.76

Attach Rate

28.3%

Best: Berlin

CityIn the RoomTicket / HeadMerch / HeadTotal / HeadAttach
🇬🇧 London1,060£16.18£4.31£20.4928%
🇬🇧 Manchester455£10.94£4.70£15.6328%
🇫🇷 Paris354£6.24£3.92£10.1624%
🇩🇪 Berlin765£19.97£5.93£25.8931%
🇳🇱 Amsterdam243£13.96£4.37£18.3227%

Why this matters: a full room grows your audience, and every extra pound per head compounds it.

Risk Gauges

Foreign Currency Exposure

47%

Worst-Case FX Hit

-£3,433

GBP · London, Manchester£38,072 (53%)
EUR · Paris, Berlin, Amsterdam£34,332 (47%)

Cyan is income in your own currency — safe. Amber is income exposed to exchange-rate movement between the show and the day you get paid.

Probabilistic Returns

P10 (downside)

£9,604

P50 (expected)

£13,780

P90 (upside)

£16,892

Prob. of Profit

100%

Revenue P50 £69,837

Reading this chart: the model uses the "Monte Carlo" method — it runs the whole tour 600 times, each run drawing a different demand and price-realisation outcome from comparable-artist analytics for your genre, artist tier, territory, show day and season. Each bar is one profit band on the horizontal axis, and its height is how many of those 600 runs landed in that band — cyan bars are profitable outcomes, red bars are losses, and the red vertical line is break-even. P10/P50/P90 are the 10th, 50th and 90th percentiles of the same distribution.

Ticket price the market will bear

MarketLowMidHighCurrent GA
🇬🇧 London£23.91£29.16£34.41£24.00
🇬🇧 Manchester£22.14£27.00£31.86£20.00
🇫🇷 Paris€26.44€32.25€38.05€26.00
🇩🇪 Berlin€27.57€33.62€39.67€25.00
🇳🇱 Amsterdam€26.57€32.40€38.23€22.00

Ticket Tier Revenue

Solid bar = gross ticket money for that tier. Faded bar = what reaches you after booking fees and the venue's split. The gap is the venue's cut.

Venue Share of Box Office£17,101
Venue Merch Hall Fees£2,757
Total to Venues£19,858

Scenario Levers

Tour-wide scenario levers. Every figure beneath a slider is what one more notch of that slider is worth across the whole routing; each gig tab scores the same levers for that market.

0%

Move the slider one notch up (+1%): +£273 tour profit

8%

Move the slider one notch up (+1%): +£410 tour profit

4%

Move the slider one notch up (+1%): -£393 tour profit

0pts

Move the slider one notch up (+1pts): +£287 tour profit

0%

Move the slider one notch up (+5%): +£662 tour profit

1.0×

Move the slider one notch up (+0.1×): -£677 tour profit

Merch Mix

How tonight's merch units split across your inventory categories. Shares always add up to 100%.

T-shirts & hoodies 55%Caps & headwear 20%Vinyl & music 15%Other (pins, totes, posters) 10%
55% of units

Move the slider one notch up (+5% of units): +£429 tour profit

20% of units

Move the slider one notch up (+5% of units): +£231 tour profit

15% of units

Move the slider one notch up (+5% of units): +£369 tour profit

"Other" is the remainder — the pins, totes and posters on your gig inventory. Give more to shirts, caps or vinyl and that slice shrinks.

Show Day

Modelled

Outcome Graphs

Profit sensitivity by lever

Each pair of bars is one lever: the red bar is the profit impact of pushing it to its worst setting, the cyan bar the impact of its best setting, both measured against the current scenario. The widest pairs are the levers worth negotiating hardest.

Marketing Activity

Live Interest Index

81

0-100 across all markets

Demand Headroom

262 tickets

£2,350 of paid spend

Next Ticket Costs

£9.26

blended marginal cost

Return on Extra Spend

move the spend lever

Reading this — cyan is how much interest each city is showing right now, green is how full the room is projected to get, amber is the extra advertising the model would put into that city.

Extra Marketing Spend

+£0(1.00× budget)

Baseline budget £8,440 · total now £8,440Cost per extra ticket

P&L Snapshot — Baseline vs. Current Spend

LineBaselineWith Extra SpendChange
Paid Tickets2,7622,762
Ticket Income (artist share)£43,006£43,006
Merch Revenue£22,854£22,854
Total Revenue£72,405£72,405
Marketing Spend£8,440£8,440
Total Costs£56,485£56,485
Tour Profit£15,920£15,920
Margin22.0%22.0%

Nothing added yet. The model says £2,350 of extra advertising is worth testing — most of it in Amsterdam.

Where The Next Pound Should Go

CityInterestSearch 7dSocial 7dSell-throughNext TicketSuggestedExtra ProfitCall
🇬🇧 London62-15.2%+38.6%96%£15.93£200£68Hold
🇬🇧 Manchester56-14.0%-3.4%76%£9.24£850£648Spend more
🇫🇷 Paris99+36.6%+43.2%72%£8.42£250£64Hold
🇩🇪 Berlin90+13.2%+25.0%96%£12.54£400£437Spend more
🇳🇱 Amsterdam99+26.7%+8.8%71%£6.47£650£1,203Spend more

Channel Activity — Last 7 Days

ChannelShareImpressionsCTRCost / TicketTrendTickets per £1k
Social Campaigns (Meta / TikTok)42%668,7931.6%£8.52+34.7%76
Search & Display Adverts23%365,5443.4%£7.22+14.5%101
Spotify / DSP Promotion14%135,2880.9%£11.48+16.4%73
Local Radio & Print11%103,4480.3%£15.92+16.6%55
Influencer & PR10%123,0612.1%£10.18-3.1%87

Do this next — move budget from Local Radio & Print into Search & Display Adverts (101 vs 55 tickets per £1,000) and point the extra at Amsterdam.

Pay It Forward

Per Ticket

25p

Tour Pledge

£691

2,762 paid tickets

Artists Supported

0.9

£750 per GIGNITE grant

Bigger act
Tour-wide pledge (if the tour profits)£691
Emerging-artist grants funded0.9 × £750
Effect on ticket price25p

This is a pledge, not a cost: it only becomes payable in the scenario where the tour is a success and has returned a profit. If the tour breaks even or loses money, nothing is owed and nothing is collected. Paying it forward is a core objective of the GIGNITE ecosystem — when a tour lands well, a few pence on each ticket is invisible to the fan but transformative for the next act, funding the vans, backline, print and first-tour marketing that stop emerging artists losing money on the road. Pledged contributions are ring-fenced in the GIGNITE artist fund, allocated as grants, and reported back so every act can see exactly which artists their tour helped put on stage.